Weather in Cancún in February

Prime time. February is about as good as Cancún gets. Highs average 27.2 °C, lows 22.5 °C, and rain falls on 8 days — nothing in the month is working against you.

February is the highest-scoring month of the twelve. The nearest rival is March, and the month at the other end of the year is August.

Rain on 8 days, 1 of them heavy. Enough to need a plan B, not enough to need a plan around it. Nothing specialised needed — this is the month you pack for the trip rather than for the weather.

What the averages hide

Averages flatten a month, and this one hides a few things: it never really gets hot: not one day in an average February reaches 30 °C; the day barely swings — 4.8 °C between the overnight low and the afternoon high. Across the twenty years measured, the hottest February day reached 30.8 °C and the coldest night fell to 17.3 °C, and the wettest single day dropped 62 mm — roughly 122% of the month's rain in one day.

February is moderately variable: 8 mm in the driest year against 126 mm in the wettest, around an average of 51 mm. Roughly two Februarys in three land near that average, and the third does something else entirely.

Wind is light at 9.1 km/h, so the temperature on the page is close to the temperature on your skin, and humidity runs at 76%, high enough to notice on the warm days without dominating them.

How February sits in the year

Temperatures hold steady either side: 26.4 °C in January, 27.2 here, 28.2 in March. Nothing about the timing within the month matters much.

Daylight in February

February sits at the dark end of Cancún's year — 11.4 hours of daylight against 13.4 at midsummer, gaining 0.5 hours across the month. Sightseeing days are genuinely shorter, and an itinerary built for summer will not fit.

Sea temperature

The sea sits at about 25.1 °C in February — warm enough to stay in as long as you like. The sea peaks at 29 °C in August and bottoms out at 25.1 °C — water lags the air by a month or two, which is why the best swimming often comes after the best weather.

How busy it gets

Peak season. Expect the highest prices of the year and to be booking well ahead. If the dates are flexible, November is the trade worth considering — 13 points weaker on weather, and materially quieter.

Crowd levels are estimated from climate desirability and school-holiday calendars, not from visitor numbers.

February in Cancún versus nearby

If Cancún is one option among several, the nearby comparison is worth making. Mérida is the weaker option in February — 4.2 °C warmer, 3 days less rain. Key West is close enough to be a coin toss — 4.1 °C cooler, 3 days less rain.

So: February is the answer for Cancún. If it is booked out or priced out, March is the next best thing at 1 points behind, and August is the month to keep off the shortlist.

Every month in Cancún

See all twelve months in Cancún, or where else to go in February.